Posted by: dcmjlive | July 8, 2009

CSaB Comparing Finale

With Adam Lambert gone, the game became an unpredictable one. Even with my own predictions, I had no real clue as to who would win. I predicted Kris would win but only by a little. Here’s how it broke down:

  1. Allison Iraheta* – I Can’t Make You Love Me – 62
  2. Kris Allen – Ain’t No Sunshine – 88
  1. Allison Iraheta* – Who’ll Stop the Rain - 53
  2. Kris Allen – What’s Going On – 51

  1. Allison Iraheta* – No Boundaries – 37
  2. Kris Allen – No Boundaries – 25

And the results?

  1. Allison Iraheta* – I Can’t Make You Love Me – 64
  2. Kris Allen – Ain’t No Sunshine – 88
  1. Allison Iraheta* – Who’ll Stop the Rain - 53
  2. Kris Allen – What’s Going On – 51

  1. Allison Iraheta* – No Boundaries – 47
  2. Kris Allen – No Boundaries – 25

WHAT!?!?! It’s a tie!?!?! I can’t believe it. My reprise score is 2 points off. The Simon Fuller song is on spot. The Coronation song is off by 10 points. WHAT HAPPENED!?!?! Well it turns out, Kris did win…by HALF A POINT when all the rounding errors are accounted for.

I’m so ecstatic, I can’t even compose a decent blog. KRIS WON!!! Take that bitterberts! Kris’s score in Ain’t No Sunshine trumps Iraheta’s by 24 points. But Iraheta gains some ground by beating Kris in the next song by 2 points. With a 22 point lead, Kris seemed like a shoe-in…but with No Boundaries, what do you know, Allison got a 22 point win over Kris. What does that mean? They tied! But based on averages done on the real show, they determined that Kris scored half a point higher than Allison making Kris the winner of Camp Should-a-been. Congrats Kris!

I salute Kradison for making the best Camp Should-a-been ever, trumping every single contestant on this show by a huge margin. This win of Kradison is one for the history books. They’re friendship will be written in the Hall of Fame. Congrats guys!

Rankings:

13. Jorge Nunez
12. Anoop Desai
11. Scott Macintyre
10. Kristen McNamara
9. Lil Rounds
8. Ju’not Joyner
7. Danny Gokey
6. Felicia Barton
5. Ricky Braddy
4. Alexis Grace
3. Adam Lambert
2. Allison Iraheta
1. Kris Allen

Posted by: dcmjlive | July 7, 2009

CSaB Comparing: Top 3 Week

When it came down to it, the final three ended up to be the powerhouse sweeping the camp for 7 weeks running. KrAdIson have been beating the competition and it has come down to them finally facing off against each other. What a momentous night this is. We just got Allison Iraheta in her well-deserved spot. Who will go out tonight, here’s my previous predictions:

Judge’s Pick:

  1. Allison Iraheta* – Piece of My Heart – 59
  2. Kris Allen – Apologize – 45
  3. Adam Lambert – One – 47

Contestant’s Pick

  1. Allison Iraheta* – Somebody to Love – 66
  2. Kris Allen – Heartless - 85
  3. Adam Lambert – Cryin’ – 65

Hmm…the songs weren’t right for Allison but the ratings were spot on. I’m amazed at how accurate I’ve made them. Since I’m pretty much spot on…I want to copy paste my commentary from my previous post.

It seems that Kris Allen is in a tough situation. Both Come Together and Apologize have now ranked lower than his worst performance, All She Wants to Do is Dance. What Kris needs in the next round is a miracle to stay in the competition. Allison takes this round with a very fortunate pick from Paula Abdul who decides to stop with the obscure songs. She admits that she wanted to give Allison, Dance Little Sister but after Danny did it in the original, she thought Allison would need a better song. Simon’s gloating doesn’t help Adam much either as Adam gets his lowest performance rating of 47.

Well, what do you know? Heartless gives Kris that needed miracle and with such a spectacular performance, it ranks as high as his renditions of Ain’t No Sunshine & She Works Hard for the Money and Adam’s rendition of Tracks of My Tears. This performance is really the moment of the night. Allison decides to take on Evanescence’s My Immortal and gives a respectable 66 almost making a tie with Adam’s Cryin’. So who packs his/her bags and goes home? We rely on averaging for this one. Allison Iraheta gets an average of 62.5. Kris gets 65 and Adam gets 56. In a shocker, we say goodbye to Adam Lambert. Clearly, his performances tonight hurt him and now we are left with the two contenders, Kris Allen and Allison Iraheta.

For the first time, we’ve come to the very first IDOL FINALE with TWO CANNON FODDERS! This obviously has thwarted the plans of the idol producers. It was sad though that Adam had to fail on a night when his competition were really good. And who would win, man, it’s damn effing close! I can’t really really tell. But with what I speculated, here it is from the previous post:

  1. Allison Iraheta* – I Can’t Make You Love Me – 62
  2. Kris Allen – Ain’t No Sunshine – 88
  1. Allison Iraheta* – A Change is Gonna Come - 53
  2. Kris Allen – What’s Going On – 51

  1. Allison Iraheta* – No Boundaries – 37
  2. Kris Allen – No Boundaries – 25

So will Kris really win based on this…we’ll see…

Posted by: dcmjlive | July 6, 2009

CSaB Comparing: Top 4 Week

One thing I hated about rock week was the lack of originality. Slash totally wanted it to be rock all out. This of course proved taxing to the crew of Camp Should-a-been. But I think it all worked out especially because Simon Fuller got his just deserves. On to the prediction:

  1. Adam Lambert & Allison Iraheta – 86
  2. Adam Lambert – 82
  3. Allison Iraheta – 68
  4. Kris Allen & Alexis Grace* – 60
  5. Kris Allen – 46
  6. Alexis Grace* 30

And the results:

  1. Adam Lambert & Allison Iraheta – Slow Ride – 86
  2. Adam Lambert – Whole Lotta Love 82
  3. Allison Iraheta – Cry Baby 68
  4. Kris Allen – Come Together 46
  5. Kris Allen & Alexis Grace –  Come Sail With Me – 35
  6. Alexis Grace* You Oughta Know 31

So I was wrong with the grade of the duet. But as usual, that doesn’t matter. Of course, the wonder group got the top three spot again while Alexis Grace had to leave us tonight. In all fairness, the duet between Kris and Alexis was much better than the one with Danny. I wonder why it had to be a STYX duet. When Alexis asked Kara in what way to dirty it up more, Kara ripped off her dress to reveal a bikini. We know what that means… Alexis got so mad that she brought her to the tidal mud place thingy. And of course, Adam and Allison gave the 2nd highest rated performance of the season at this point. Congrats to them.

And now for the KRADISON dream sequence…

♪ I wanna rock, rock! Rock, Rock! ♪ ♪Kradison, KRADISON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!♪ WOOT!

Posted by: dcmjlive | July 5, 2009

CSaB Comparing: Top 5 Week

With Felicia Barton gone, we know that this show is inevitably going to feature Ricky Braddy leaving us. Man, now it’s become so predictable that you can predict I’ll start next week by saying that we know Alexis Grace will leave on the bus of shame. So uh…what’s the point? Anyway, here were my predictions:

  1. Allison Iraheta – 75
  2. Adam Lambert – 70
  3. Kris Allen – 58
  4. Alexis Grace* – 35
  5. Ricky Braddy* OR Felicia Barton* – 31

And the results:

  1. Allison Iraheta – Someone to Watch Over Me 75
  2. Adam Lambert – Feeling Good 70
  3. Kris Allen – The Way You Look Tonight 58
  4. Alexis Grace* Summer Wind – 34
  5. Ricky Braddy* – Softly as I Leave You 31

This show was postponed due to the fact that there was an incident at the Camp studio. The building of Adam’s staircase proved to be disastrous as Debbie Williams, the stagemanager, broke her other leg as those stairs came tumbling down. But nevertheless, I proved to be extremely accurate this time with my 3rd set of predictions. The three amigos take the top spot yet again AS EXPECTED for the 6th time in a row. This will only end when they’re the top three standing. They’re just basically switching up the time when they become first. (MoTown – Adam, Top Downloads – Kris, Year of Birth – Adam, Cinema – Adam, Disco – Kris and now, RatPack – Allison… later… Rock – Adam, Top 3 – Kris) Anyway, I want to commend Alexis and Ricky for going this far. This proves how much they and Felicia were robbed of these spots. Ricky sings goodbye with Softly as I Leave You. Notice that until now, the swan songs speak of their elimination?

Anyway, for the next episode, we will say goodbye to Alexis Grace. For the Top 3, we say goodbye to Adam Lambert. Leaving the question… WHO WILL WIN: Kris Allen or Allison Iraheta

Posted by: dcmjlive | July 3, 2009

CSaB Comparing: Top SIX Week

Thanks to the non-existent save, we finally get a top SIX. I mean, when I wrote the critique blogs of Idol, one of my tags read top 7.1 for Disco Week. One number we didn’t get to see is Top TWELVE week. But oh well, it happens. Since it’s the famous disco night, the judges were given earplugs just in case they can’t stand the atrocity of the songs. They didn’t have to use it though… Here are my predictions:

  1. Kris Allen – 85
  2. Adam Lambert – 78
  3. Allison Iraheta – 70
  4. Alexis Grace* – 39
  5. Felicia Barton* OR Ricky Braddy* – 35

And what really happened?

  1. Kris Allen – She Works Hard for the Money 85
  2. Adam Lambert – If I Can’t Have You 78
  3. Allison Iraheta – Hot Stuff – 70
  4. Alexis Grace* – Bad Girls 38
  5. Ricky Braddy* – Breaking Up is Hard to Do 35
  6. Felicia Barton* Breaking Up is Hard to Do 35

Well, disco week wasn’t even disco night anymore. In fact, I didn’t hear one trace of the boogie down vibe. Without Ms. Lil with her karaoke I’m Every Woman, Mr. Anoop with his Dim All the Lights, and Sir Matt with his Stayin’ Alive, the night became a variety show of different genres. Kradison takes the top spot yet again for the umpteenth time in a row. Seriously, 5th time…but why am I still counting? Kris leads the pack with his rock/folk version of She Works Hard for the Money complete with bongos and “the box” made from drift wood near camp. Kris was actually sporting red hair here. Adam was sporting jeans that were artistically torn and too short for him by 6 inches while Allison was wearing guyliner, black hair and black nailpolish. Adam instead of doing hip and funky went with sad and desperate. His ballad version takes 2nd. Allison with her new look rocked it out with Hot Stuff.

So our bottom three consists of Alexis Grace, Ricky Braddy and Felicia Barton. Alexis had taken Bad Girls and made it punk rock. And the dueteers who knew one of them left performed a heartbreaking broadway Romeo and Juliet-esque like musical ballad, Breaking Up is Hard to Do. You’d even think we were watching So You Think You Can Dance. But one of them had to go and by a margin of 0.17, we say goodbye to Felicia Barton. NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!! Why did WNTS have to employ Ricky’s performance of Superstition anyway??? It made Felicia’s score decay to a much lower level than Ricky’s!!! But going back, at least from being the top THIRTY-SEVENTH member of the semi-finals, she makes it all the way to SIXTH place. Not bad, not bad at all.

So we know the arrangement of who’ll leave from now. Ricky Braddy leaves us on Rat Pack Night. Alexis Grace leaves us on Rock Week. Adam Lambert leaves us on Top 3 Week. And the final two of KRIS ALLEN and ALLISON IRAHETA is the only thing I’d be excited about because the game is too close to call.

I did some research and the decay is approximately determined by multiplying .9 or .895 to their scores. Even without this, I’ve been pretty much spot on with the decays. It’s amazing really. For reprises, the normal minus is -21. With this knowledge, I’ll show you the computation of Top 3 and the Finale for Allison. I’ll use .9 because it’s easier:

Top 3 Week

Allison Iraheta Song 1: 72.5 x .9 = 65.25
Allison Iraheta Song 2: 62.25 x .9 = 58.725

So with 65 + 59, we get a total of 124. Since we know Kris wins with a total of 130 over Adam’s 112 and that Adam’s is also lower than Allison’s projected, he leaves us here.

Finale

Allison Iraheta Reprise of I Can’t Make You Love Me: 83 – 21 = 62
Allison Iraheta MoTown Change-themed Song: 58.725 x .9 = 52.8525
Allison Iraheta No Boundaries: 52.8525 x .9 = 47.56725

So that’s 62 + 53 + 48 = 163. Kris on finale night was: 88 + 51 + 25 = 164. So Kris wins by one point. But this is too close that Allison COULD win. But then again, I haven’t made provisions to lower Allison’s No Boundaries. A score of 48 seems pretty impossible for that ridiculous song so we MIGHT count that to be much lower like 52.8525 x .7 = ~37. And that would still make Allison’s score lower. But they can also change the minus for reprises to -13 and that would make the reprise 70. If both apply, Kris would still win. But if only the reprise applies, Allison would win. This would be a bit more exciting now.

I’ll update Top 5 week next week instead. I wont have internet connection where I’d be going.

Posted by: dcmjlive | July 2, 2009

CSaB Comparing: Top 7 Week

We’re down to seven and the competition is heating up…literally. I mean have you checked the temperature lately? It’s blazing hot. I guess summer heat is in the air. The campers are getting a bit restless and well, so are the judges too. They’ve decided to go heavy on their critiques. Heck, Simon even critiqued the back up singers at one point. Anyway, let’s check my predictions:

  1. Adam Lambert – 68
  2. Kris Allen – 64
  3. Allison Iraheta – 47
  4. Alexis Grace* – 40
  5. Felicia Barton* – 37
  6. Ricky Braddy* – 37
  7. Danny Gokey – 35

And what happened? Hmm…let’s do things differently this time around. I will release the results later in the post, but of course I will note some instances here and there. Yet again, Kradison gets the top spot of the night. These three are just unstoppable on their 4th time. There’s a considerably big drop from Adam’s performance last time to this time. And I just don’t get it but they bring back Jesse Langseth again to be Kris’s backup singer. So this means Jesse plays Marketa while Kris plays Glen. Hmm…I hope Katy doesn’t get a fit.

Alexis does another dirty song…GREASE…but it’s melody isn’t dirty enough that Alexis still gets shoved off. And of course, Ricky and Felicia reprise another duet. This will pose problems later… And of course, Danny Gokey requested a harp and string quartet yet again but got Chikezie on harmonica and Kris on viola instead. Poor Danny. So here’s the results:

  1. Adam Lambert – Born to be Wild 68
  2. Kris Allen – Falling Slowly 64
  3. Allison Iraheta – I Don’t Wanna Miss A Thing 47
  4. Alexis Grace* – Grease 43
  5. Felicia Barton* – Summer Nights 39
  6. Ricky Braddy* – Summer Nights 39
  7. Danny Gokey – Endless Love 35

OK…so I predicted Danny as lowest…but why is he leaving!?!?! It turns out I was right that the judges WOULD and DID employ the save on Danny but staying true to the by-laws of camp, the judges’ save is null and void given that the camp eliminates the one who sang the worst. Non-elimination is against the by-laws of the Camp constitution. So this poses a small problem…my predictions now have to be tweaked… for the 3rd time. Stupid by-laws…now I’m complaining.

TOP 6 WEEK: Disco

  1. Kris Allen – 85
  2. Adam Lambert – 78
  3. Allison Iraheta – 70
  4. Alexis Grace* – 39
  5. Felicia Barton* OR Ricky Braddy* – 35

TOP 5 Week: Rat Pack Standards

  1. Allison Iraheta – 75
  2. Adam Lambert – 70
  3. Kris Allen – 58
  4. Alexis Grace* – 35
  5. Ricky Braddy* OR Felicia Barton* – 31

Hmm…it seems because of the scores of Ricky and Felicia, I have no effing clue who would go first. If Ricky leaves Top 6 week, Felicia will leave Top 5 week. If Felicia leaves Top 6 week, Ricky will leave Top 5 week. Why did Camp Should-a-been have to give them THE SAME scores each week. They’re screwing me with this prediction thing. Anyway, I have to continue until…

TOP 4 Week: Rock

  1. Adam Lambert & Allison Iraheta – 86
  2. Adam Lambert – 82
  3. Allison Iraheta – 68
  4. Kris Allen & Alexis Grace* – 60
  5. Kris Allen – 46
  6. Alexis Grace* 30

Hmm…I didn’t know how I’m going to give Alexis and Kris a duet score. Hmm…so here’s how I decided to do it: I get the average of both Kris and Alexis up until Top 5 week, average the two averages, and decay it. That will lead to Kris and Alexis’ duet score. Sounds right, right? Anyway, after this…my original predictions are back on track. Man, this calculated guesswork is hard!

So here are the new projected standings:

13. Jorge Nunez – Never Gonna Say Goodbye
12. Anoop Desai – Beat It
11. Scott MacIntyre – Wild Angels

10. Kristen McNamara – When I’m Gone
9. Lil Rounds – I Surrender
8. Ju’not Joyner – Oh No
7. Danny Gokey
- Endless Love
6. Ricky Braddy
5. Felicia Barton
4. Alexis Grace
3. Adam Lambert – One and Cryin’
2. Allison Iraheta
1. Kris Allen

The colors here are relevant. CHARTREUSE means it’s happened. BLUE means I’m sure it’s gonna happen. MARIGOLD means I am really unsure if this would happen or not. Well, this is definitely going to be exciting. Who leaves camp next time, Felicia or Ricky? Who wins, Kris or Allison? Let’s find out together!

  1. Adam Lambert – 68
  2. Kris Allen – 64
  3. Allison Iraheta – 47
  4. Alexis Grace* – 40
  5. Felicia Barton* – 37
  6. Ricky Braddy* – 37
  7. Danny Gokey – 35
Posted by: dcmjlive | July 1, 2009

CSaB Comparing: Top 8 Week

I was wrong, so Anoop was being blamed for all those klepto instances in camp. Sorry Noop Dawg. You’re cool in my books. Pesky Simon Cowell trying to start a fight. (♪So so what, I am a rock star, I got my rock moves and I don’t need you and guess what, I’m having more fun♪) But anyway, we’ll go with Year You Were Born Week starting with my predictions:

  1. Adam Lambert – 92
  2. Allison Iraheta – 83
  3. Kris Allen – 49
  4. Alexis Grace* – 46
  5. Danny Gokey – 44
  6. Felicia Barton* – 43
  7. Ricky Braddy* – 43
  8. Jun’ot Joyner* – 33

And the results:

  1. Adam Lambert – Mad World 92
  2. Allison Iraheta – I Can’t Make You Love Me 83
  3. Kris Allen – All She Wants to Do is Dance 49
  4. Alexis Grace* – Naughty Girls (Need Love to) 48
  5. Danny Gokey – Stand by Me 44
  6. Ricky Braddy* – Leather and Lace 44
  7. Felicia Barton* – Leather and Lace 44
  8. Jun’ot Joyner* Oh No 34

Woot! I predicted it right again! (♪Coz I’m on fire! Quenched by Desire! Give in to me.♪) For the third consecutive show, Kradison takes the top spot. If only the three could always sing trios like Ricky and Felicia keep doing duets. HAHAHA. And the two could really do duets because their birthyears follow each other. Lucky them right? No, because they wound yet again in the bottom three. So does Danny Gokey for his first time ever (He never was in the bottom three to our dismay in the original…) I love the blue ahem…cellphone lighting that they used for Mad World. It’s what brought out Simon as the sabotager. I guess he’s sabotaged his own credibility. Go back to X factor you douche…I mean…highly paid executive.

That leaves us with Ju’not whose one real song has pushed him further than 7th placer, Lil Rounds. Congrats Ju’not. As to scores, I was off by 1-2 points which isn’t at all bad. Anyway, that’s it. Enjoy the next installment of CSaB Comparing tomorrow.

Posted by: dcmjlive | June 30, 2009

CSaB Comparing: Top 9 Week

Another sunny day in camp and it’s my favorite night on Camp Should-a-been…KRIS ALLEN… I mean…uh…sorry…TOP DOWNLOADS NIGHT! And in preparation for the gala, the campers all pitched-in to make Kris a new keyboard because someone… is stealing the camper’s stuff. You can check the details on what the piano is composed of in WhatNotToSing.com but I’d have to say the campers built one heck of a piano. So let’s go to my revised predictions:

TOP 9: Top Downloads Week

  1. Kris Allen – 85
  2. Adam Lambert – 69
  3. Allison Iraheta – 55
  4. Danny Gokey – 55
  5. Alexis Grace* – 53
  6. Felicia Barton* – 50
  7. Ricky Braddy* – 50
  8. Jun’ot Joyner* – 37
  9. Lil Rounds – 36

And the results:

TOP 9: Top Downloads Week

  1. Kris Allen – Ain’t No Sunshine 85
  2. Adam Lambert – Play that Funky Music 69
  3. Allison Iraheta – Don’t Speak 55
  4. Danny Gokey – What Hurts the Most 55
  5. Alexis Grace* – Dirty 53
  6. Felicia Barton* – Let’s Stay Together 49
  7. Ricky Braddy* – Let’s Stay Together 49
  8. Jun’ot Joyner* – Hey There Delilah 38
  9. Lil Rounds – I Surrender 36

DJ, you did it again! I’m on hot steamy fire that’s burstin’ from a hot lava bomb! I mean, after revising…ahem…your rankings of course. And of course, thanks to the campers, Kris Allen comes up on top as expected! I mean, the song never gets old! Kris is one masterclass you can’t destroy. He’s a silent storm rushing to become a hurricane that would traverse the mountains or something like that. In short, he gave the best performance on a boring night.

Adam of course got the 2nd highest rating for the most karaoke song of all time. Allison gets 3rd completing Kradison yet again for the top 3 with her better rendition of Don’t Speak as compared to that Gwen Stefani girl. And Alexis thought it was the perfect time to DIRTY it up even more but alas, the judges still wanted MORE.

In the end, we got Felicia and Ricky in the bottom three doing their second duet adequately named “Let’s Stay Together”. We all know that they’ll also leave together but sshhhh people might think it’s rigged. Ju’not is in for the 2nd time but like my recent prediction, he outlasts my original one. It’s Little…I mean…Small…I mean Minute…I mean Lil Rounds who leaves us tonight…but it seems she has surrendered to a spa as she’s nowhere to be found!

And am I getting this creepy feeling that the swan songs are literally swan songs. Jorge could never say goodbye as he left. Anoop just beat it. Scott was taken by what must’ve been Wild Angels. Kristen reminisces about when she’s gone. And Lil, just surrendered. What will Jun’ot sing? What disco duet will be Felicia and Ricky’s swan song? What ratpack-jazzy song would Alexis say goodbye to.

Well we know Danny would be dreaming on…and that Adam would be the one who’ll be cryin’…

Anyway, I’m sure to blog earlier tomorrow. Bye!

Posted by: dcmjlive | June 29, 2009

CSaB Comparing: Top 10 Week

Sorry for the delay in blog if you guys were looking for it. I’ve just been really busy today and doing this blog is already removing some of my precious time. Again, Anoop is stealing some more stuff. But then again, it must be his little friends, the chipmunks, who are doing the work for him. Without further much ado, I’ll go straight to the point and go to my predictions from last time:

  1. Adam Lambert – 85
  2. Allison Iraheta – 80
  3. Kris Allen – 68
  4. Alexis Grace* – 60
  5. Felicia Barton* – 55
  6. Ricky Braddy* – 55
  7. Danny Gokey – 54
  8. Jun’ot Joyner* – 43
  9. Lil Rounds – 42
  10. Kristen McNamara* – 37

And the results?

  1. Adam Lambert – Tracks of My Tears 85
  2. Allison Iraheta – Papa Was A Rolling Stone 80
  3. Kris Allen – How Sweet it Is 68
  4. Alexis Grace* – Shop Around 60
  5. Ricky Braddy* It Takes Two 55
  6. Felicia Barton* – It Takes Two 55
  7. Danny Gokey – Get Ready 54
  8. Jun’ot Joyner* – Do You Love Me 42
  9. Lil Rounds – Heat Wave 42
  10. Kristen McNamara* – When I’m Gone 38

I’ve successfully predicted the one who’ll leave again. I’m on a roll. But now with my adjusted predictions, even the decay rates seem to be at par with the real thing. So whaddya know, I might be able to get that Kris win I want. But not so fast horsey, we still have to go through all these finals. Interestingly, Kradison takes top honors this round. It’ll be the first out of many that they’ll come up on top. It’s the first night that Alexis stays longer than the original and she gets a high 60 for her effort to dirty up a very sweet Archuleta-made-popular song. Camp Should-a-been also makes a first where Felicia and Ricky do a duet together. Is it just me or will they be doing duets from now on? Hmm…hopefully not. Danny Gokey just slips by the bottom three while Ju’not and Lil tie for 8th. It is Kristen McNamara who leaves us. So long farewell to you Kristen who hasn’t won a single reality show. When you’re gone, we will remember you as the little choo-choo train who said “I think I can” but failed. No adjustments to be done in predictions just yet. It’s going to be smooth sailing for now with a bit of rain to whether Ju’not goes first according to my old prediction or Lil who goes first according to my new prediction. Either way, I don’t really care.

Posted by: dcmjlive | June 27, 2009

CSaB Comparing: Top 11 Week

It’s Grand Ole Opry night at Camp Should-a-been and without having Anoop or Matt in this replay, someone else would get the title of top ranker on this night. Anoop though has just stolen Allison’s hairdye and Danny’s eyeglasses. Good job Anoop! You may have been eliminated but you’re really messing things up. HAHAHA. Anyway, down to my predictions (adjusted from last blog):

  1. Kris Allen – 76
  2. Allison Iraheta – 69
  3. Felicia Barton* – 62
  4. Danny Gokey – 58
  5. Ricky Braddy* – 58
  6. Adam Lambert – 51
  7. Jun’ot Joyner* – 45
  8. Alexis Grace – 44
  9. Kristen McNamara* – 41
  10. Lil Rounds – 37
  11. Scott Macintyre – 34

And here’s the real thing:

  1. Kris Allen – To Make You Feel My Love 76
  2. Allison Iraheta – Blame It On Your Heart 69
  3. Felicia Barton* – Summertime Blues 61
  4. Ricky Braddy* Friends in Low Places 61
  5. Danny Gokey – Jesus, Take the Wheel 58
  6. Adam Lambert – Ring of Fire 51
  7. Jun’ot Joyner* – Shameless 47
  8. Alexis Grace – Jolene 44
  9. Kristen McNamara* – Poor Poor Pitiful Me 42
  10. Lil Rounds – Independence Day 37
  11. Scott Macintyre – Wild Angels 34

First things first, we can notice that without Anoop or Matt, Kris Allen, our defending champ, takes top honors in this round. And without them too, the rankings are pretty low in comparison. A mistake I made from my predictions is that instead of Danny and Ricky tying for 4th, Felicia and Ricky tie for 3rd. What WhatNotToSing.com did was consider Ricky’s wildcard performance of Superstition as his performance for MJ week thus making a new average for Ricky. Thus, he now decays at the same score with Felicia. I got Felicia’s score wrong by one point and Ricky’s by three points. Not much significance actually.

So basically, Danny takes 5th now for his ok performance of the Carrie Underwood song. Adam comes 6th with the controversial Ring of Fire. And Alexis Grace survives this week not even reaching the bottom three thus she’ll go further in this replay than in the show. She may have dirtied it up but it didn’t help her that much. So this means Kristen, Lil and Scott are in the bottom three. And as I correctly predicted… Scott leaves us tonight.

So far, I’ve predicted the ones who’ll leave correctly. but I would need to account for some changes:

  1. Due to WNTS deliberately using Ricky’s final average when he left the show, I have to adjust both Ricky and Felicia’s scores.
  2. Also, the decay rates used on Jun’ot and Kristen are smaller. I will also take this into account.
  3. This will mean I would do a repeat of predictions right here. Please bear with me:

TOP 10: MoTown

  1. Adam Lambert – 85
  2. Allison Iraheta – 80
  3. Kris Allen – 68
  4. Alexis Grace* – 60
  5. Felicia Barton* – 55
  6. Ricky Braddy* – 55
  7. Danny Gokey – 54
  8. Jun’ot Joyner* – 43
  9. Lil Rounds – 42
  10. Kristen McNamara* – 37

TOP 9: Top Downloads Week

  1. Kris Allen – 85
  2. Adam Lambert – 69
  3. Allison Iraheta – 55
  4. Danny Gokey – 55
  5. Alexis Grace* – 53
  6. Felicia Barton* – 50
  7. Ricky Braddy* – 50
  8. Jun’ot Joyner* – 37
  9. Lil Rounds – 36

TOP 8: Year You Were Born Week

  1. Adam Lambert – 92
  2. Allison Iraheta – 83
  3. Kris Allen – 49
  4. Alexis Grace* – 46
  5. Danny Gokey – 44
  6. Felicia Barton* – 43
  7. Ricky Braddy* – 43
  8. Jun’ot Joyner* – 33

TOP 7: Songs from the Cinema Week

  1. Adam Lambert – 68
  2. Kris Allen – 64
  3. Allison Iraheta – 47
  4. Alexis Grace* – 40
  5. Felicia Barton* – 37
  6. Ricky Braddy* – 37
  7. Danny Gokey – 35

Top 7 REDUX: Disco Week

  1. Kris Allen – 85
  2. Adam Lambert – 78
  3. Allison Iraheta – 70
  4. Danny Gokey – 52
  5. Alexis Grace* – 36
  6. Felicia Barton* – 33
  7. Ricky Braddy* – 33

So there isn’t much change here actually. I basically have Lil and Jun’ot swap places. I’m not so sure about this swap though because the scores are too close to call. It will depend on next episode’s decay rates if something changes here.

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